Who will HP Acquire?

Here is a link to an article written by SoftwareAdvice.com that discusses 14 potential acquisition targets for HP.

http://www.softwareadvice.com/articles/enterprise/hp-mergers-acquisitions-who-is-next-1031401/

As we all know, technology and software M&A is “supposedly” on the rise.  It might still be a year off, because middle market companies have inflated valuations due to speculation that they will be a takeover candidate as opposed to valuations based on growth and financial performance.  Instead of growing through acquisition, management teams of middle-market companies are content to grow with the market.  They do not have to worry how “ho-hum” growth will affect their stock price in this environment.

This dynamic will change once private equity companies come off the sidelines and start consolidating the market.  Competition for smaller acquisition targets and scale will begin to drive M&A in the middle market.  This phenomena is not very far off.


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The New Dishy Mix Interview

Below is a link to the 2nd Dishy Mix podcast interview with Susan Bratton and me regarding Digital Media M&A.

http://blogs.personallifemedia.com/dishymix/

Look for DM 136 podcast: John Doyle.

It’s always fun to speak with Susan and we decided to make this an annual conversation.  Enjoy!

Best,

John


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Saved by the Google

Saved by the Bell

Saved by the Bell

I’ve been spending my free time away taking tests to get a broker/dealer license and preparing for a newborn, which is a double excuse for such a short post and duration since my last post.  Although I have not been posting, I have been reading the trades and this post is appropriately titled “Saved by the Google.”  The meaning of the title is the fact that Google is on an acquisition tear (relative to M&A activity last year) and will be the catalyst to energize other buyers.  In December 2008, Google stock was at $250 and now it is at $500.  They are again feeling rich, and like any smart consumer, it’s time to go shopping while the prices are still low!  Bravo for Google’s aggressive and smart land grab.

On the other hand, I read in ReadWriteWeb that Google is in talks to buy Brightcove for $500 million.  In a sector with rapidly changing technology (video players), Brightcove built up a long list of partnerships with publishers to use its video player.  The operative word is partnerships.  Not delivery, not technology, not compression, not hi-def, back-flip pixels, and not behavioral advertising that knows what you did last summer…but Partnerships.  (Alan Iverson would have called this “Practice.”)  Wow, if that is not a serious case of “Saved By the Google,” I do not know what is.

I will now refer to Brightcove the Zack Morris of digital media!  I just hope Google has a plan for these partnerships and isn’t the Screech exit strategy for some lucky VCs.  But hey, they’re big boys with long dollars and, as I said in previous posts, they have the money to make mistakes.  And who am I to find fault with paying $500 million for partnerships?  I live in NYC, where people are too lazy (or busy) to walk their own dogs!


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Bravo Disney!!!

I’m clapping my hands like I just saw a great performance of a Tennessee Williams play. Well done Disney. Acquiring Marvel was a strong consolidation move, but please do not Disne-fy the product or culture. As the target market/demo for ESPN, I got a bit queezy when Disney acquired ABC. If left as a stand-alone entity in regards to content, then I am sure there will not be a clash in the definition of appropriate family programing.  One can only see so many houses refurbished before thinking the challenge of rebuilding a city…ahem, New Orleans y’all!

More importantly, this is the catalyst we need to get this digital media M&A market back humming again. Bold and aggressive. Kudos to Disney for taking the lead!

Also, Marvel is a great turn-around story.  A stock that was trading at around a dollar when I graduated from college.


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Smart and Aggressive

Similar to the rumble of a wave under a surfboard, the third quarter of 2009 appears to be start to a period of aggressive smart acquisition strategies.  Amazon’s acquisition of Zappos.com, Facebook’s acquisition of Friendfeed.com, Microsoft selling Razorfish to Publicis and MSN’s deal with Yahoo are all very smart recapitalizations that happened this summer.  This could be the course of events that triggers other mid-cap digital media wallflowers to get off the beach and jump in the M&A waters!

(Yes, I did just return from a ten day California workaction. )

Best,

John


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2009 Mid-Year Digital Media M&A Report

Peachtree Logo JPEGPeachtree Media Advisors, Inc. has released a mid-year digital media M&A transactions report.  Although the first half of the 2009 saw a significant drop-off in capital raised and transactions versus the same period last year, there are a few bright spots in the digital media sector.   We must keep in mind that interactive media deal-making did not fall off the proverbial cliff last year until Google missed their numbers in July 2008 and the infamous Sequoia presentation.  At that point, digital media VCs and companies felt susceptible to the effects of the economic downturn. On a relative basis, we expect the extreme opposite case for deal making in the 3rd and 4th Quarters of 2009 versus 2008 because of the heavy drop-off in the latter part of 2008.

For a copy of the report and insights, please e-mail JohnD@PeachtreeMediaAdvisors.com or click here http://tinyurl.com/ojx4ey.


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Spring Cleaning Will Lead to Digital Media M&A

I was shocked to see that Conde Nast Portfolio was closed.  My goodness.  My wife almost bought me a subscription to the publication and I said, “Naaahhh, I’m ok with Business Week.”  I pretty much canceled all of my business magazine subscriptions over the last few years, which is why I was so surprised when Conde Nast put out another business magazine last year. 

Similar to luxury goods and $11K purses, I really thought there was an audience for that magazine.  Somewhere in-between Cigar Aficionado, the Robb Report, Forbes magazine, New Yorker, the closed down ICON magazine and Vanity Fair, there was a demand for Portfolio when the magazine was launched.   (I used to do magazine deals in a former life.) 

Trust me, I truly thought there was an audience for this magazine and that I was not privy to the uber wealthy lifestyle of this publication’s target audience.  There must be people that are interested in fashion while they read about business (or not).  These are my true feelings and not snarky blogger speak.  The fact that Conde Nast invested a substantial amount of money into the publication is unfortunate for the employees at the magazine.  I hope the lesson that comes out of this is to commit more resources to developing rich media formats in online or digital formats.  The millions of dollars spent on the magazine could have been used to launch the same publication online at a fraction of the cost. 

Here is the link to the TechCrunch article:  http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/04/27/portfolio-magazine-gets-liquidated-there-goes-100-million/

Once the media sector is finished cleaning house, restructuring and licking its wounds, expect laser-like focus on developing digital media properties from all traditional media companies.  Once they begin developing digital media properties, they will remember that buying established brands is often-times less expensive in the long run than starting them up.  This should drive digital media M&A as soon as the fourth quarter of this year.  (What?  I’m an optimist!)


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Digital Media M&A Podcast Interview with John Doyle

Here is a link to a digital media M&A podcast interview with the one and only Susan Bratton of Personal Life media.  The interview covers the M&A market in 2008, favore M&A transactions last year, the M&A environment in 2009, what to expect good this year and when the economy will turn.  If you’ve got ten minutes, it’s both informative and a fun podcast. 

http://blogs.personallifemedia.com/dishymix/

It’s Podcast DMO93.


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Cross-Border Strategic Partnerships

Ron Gardner of Audio Stocks (www.audiostocks.com) wrote me a note regarding China Broadband, Inc., which at first I thought would not be relevantt to me or any of the VIPs that have read this blog (I think the number is up to 185…Whew-hew, watch out Om Malik!).  What makes this article relevant is the understanding that the same media echo-system events (growth, acquisition, consolidation, maturity) that occur in the U.S. also take place overseas, but just a few years later.   My point is that overseas media conglomerates are feeling the cash crunch as well and would like to partner with U.S. companies instead of enduring the risks of building technology, content and applications from scratch.  I am henceforth trying to position my firm, Peachtree Media Advisors, to better serve digital media companies in cross-border M&A transactions, which include strategic partnerships, joint ventures and business development.   

Below is the e-mail from Ron:

I know you usually write about bigger organizations, however we thought your readers might have an interest in today’s acquisition announced by our client, China Broadband, Inc. (See: http://tinyurl.com/c7f7lb). The topics covered include wireless, advertising and investing, topics your site covers.

China Broadband’s flagship operation is Jinan Jia He Broadband-also known as Jinan Broadband, the fifth largest broadband operator in China and the second largest broadband service provider in Shandong’s capital city of Jinan. Through its Shandong Group subsidiary, China Broadband publishes digital and analog television program guides, newspapers and entertainment magazines. It holds the exclusive license to publish television program guides in Shandong Province, one of the largest regional economies in China. For more information, visit http://www.chinabroadband.tv

Also, I read your letter to the newspaper industry. Good analysis and suggestions! I’ve commented on a couple of blogs about the “Death of the Newspaper Industry” including (coincidentally) a post earlier today! I’ll look for more from you on this subject.


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Which New Media Company Should I Acquire?

Eureka!  You have found your answer.  (Do not be ashamed for typing that phrase into your search browser, we’ve all been there!)  There you were, a big media executive, sitting in your office all alone staring at the all-knowing search browser.  You type in “Which interactive media company should I buy” and voila!   Here you are.

Acquiring a company today is almost like a kid being in Dylan’s candy store for the first time, but with only $5 and the entire store staring directly at you.   Not to mention the $5 is a loan from your big brother.  There are lots of choices and it can be overwhelming.  So, which media company should you buy? 

Well, I’m not going to answer that question in this post, because that’s why I get paid the big bucks.  I will take you back to the fundamentals of media though.  It starts with reminding mid-size and larger media companies to focus on what they are good at – creating content and selling advertising. 

As for 2009, the days of large-scale splashy Internet acquisitions are over (at least for now).  Tools, technology and applications are sexy acquisition targets that will put your company in the headlines, but can also land you in front of an investor firing squad.  Just imagine the A.I.G. grilling you will get from shareholders after you close on a $100 million acquisition that becomes obsolete in twelve months. 

Only grandmas and banks hold on to cash.  You’re a media company executive, it’s time to start investing in growth!  Use it or lose it.    ROI waits for no one.  With your VP of corporate development reduced to “Yes” man status in order to cover his rear end, you may want to start out with smaller brands that you can help grow and cross-promote within your own portfolio of Websites.   

The safest area to begin making online media acquisitions is in the niche consumer or business-to-business categories.  Niche categories represent smaller and safer environments for building online media brands.  If you are looking for a loyal and entrenched audience with a vested interest in promoting the Website, then niche community based Websites and social media companies are the way to acquire.  The people in these communities not only identify with Website brands, but are also content contributors by uploading videos, sharing photos and sharing experiences relevant to the community. 

There are significant buying opportunities at great prices.  Especially, since many of these companies are not able to raise venture capital because they are not generating obscene amounts of traffic.  These Websites can be picked up for small amounts of money and then introduced to the traffic of the parent brand - similar to ESPN’s acquisition strategy. 

Safe Target Acquisition Areas for 2009

 

In the chart above, I outlined what I believe is the safest area to begin acquiring.  You are probably going to get the most bang for your buck in the niche B2B or consumer arena.  Whether it is video, social media or just plain old information, non-evergreen content that is updated regularly is the way to go.  You will be able to grow traffic, cross-promote brands, add what I call smart-scale (already scaled down businesses) and leverage your existing sales infrastructures.  Sounds like a party to me.

Here are some examples of small strategic acquisitions that would be considered in the safe ROI zone for 2009 (and it is not a coincidence that the companies listed below were already acquired):

There are tons of small content companies out there that could play a strategic role in helping your company solidify relationships with advertisers.  Adding more of your core target demographic group is a safe way to go in this environment.  Everyone is skittish, even advertisers.  So, more bread & butter and less pizazz will serve to be accretive all the way from the ad pitch to the bottom line.


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